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Relatórios de economia
10/7/2026

Week in Charts - 06/26 to 07/10

Por

Cristiane Quartaroli

The week was once again marked by volatility in local assets, particularly in our exchange rate, which ended Friday lower, primarily influenced by the international landscape. The US dollar gained strength early in the period due to rising tensions in the Middle East but lost momentum following signs of resumed negotiations between the US and Iran, which lowered oil prices and eased pressure on US interest rates. As a result, emerging market currencies strengthened again, including the real, which was supported by a high interest rate differential and still-solid domestic fundamentals. With no major news on the local front, the exchange rate followed external trends, leading the dollar to close the week near R$5.10.

The yield curve followed the same trend and saw a week of stabilization, with declines primarily in longer-term rates, in line with the improved international outlook. After rising due to tensions in the Middle East and higher oil prices, interest rates began to retreat following signs of resumed negotiations between the US and Iran, which lowered Treasury yields. In the domestic market, June's lower-than-expected IPCA inflation result may contribute to a slightly more optimistic outlook regarding the Copom's next steps.

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